Problem:
Each of  boxes in a line contains a single red marble, and for , the box in the  position also contains  white marbles. Isabella begins at the first box and successively draws a single marble at random from each box, in order. She stops when she first draws a red marble. Let  be the probability that Isabella stops after drawing exactly  marbles. What is the smallest value of  for which ?
Answer Choices:
A. 
B. 
C. 
D. 
E. 
Solution:
If Isabella reaches the box, she will draw a white marble from it with probability . For , the probability that she will draw white marbles from each of the first boxes is
so the probability that she will draw her first red marble from the box is . The condition is equivalent to , from which and . The smallest positive odd integer whose square exceeds is , and the corresponding value of is .
The problems on this page are the property of the MAA's American Mathematics Competitions