so (since xnβ is clearly positive for all n, from the initial definition), xn+1β>4 if and only if xnβ>4. We similarly prove that xnβ is decreasing:
The problem thus reduces to finding the least value of n such that
(109β)n<xnββ4β€2201β and (1110β)nβ1>xnβ1ββ4>2201β
Taking logarithms, we get nln109β<β20ln2 and (nβ1)ln1110β>β20ln2, i.e.
n>ln910β20ln2β and nβ1<ln1011β20ln2β
As approximations, we can use ln910ββ91β,ln1011ββ101β, and ln2β0.7. These approximations allow us to estimate
126<n<141
which gives (C)[81,242]β.
OR
The condition where xmββ€4+2201β gives the motivation to make a substitution to change the equilibrium from 4 to 0 . We can substitute xnβ=ynβ+4 to achieve that. Now, we need to find the smallest value of m such that ymββ€2201β given that y0β=1.
Factoring the recursion xn+1β=xnβ+6xn2β+5xnβ+4β, we get:
Using wishful thinking, we can simplify the recursion as follows:
yn+1β=ynβ+10yn2β+9ynβ+ynββynββ
yn+1β=ynβ+10ynβ(ynβ+10)βynββ
yn+1β=ynββynβ+10ynββ
yn+1β=ynβ(1βynβ+101β)
The recursion looks like a geometric sequence with the ratio changing slightly after each term. Notice from the recursion that the ynβ sequence is strictly decreasing, so all the terms after y0β will be less than 1 . Also, notice that all the terms in sequence will be positive. Both of these can be proven by induction.
With both of those observations in mind, 109β<1βynβ+101ββ€1110β. Combining this with the fact that the recursion resembles a geometric sequence, we conclude that (109β)n<ynββ€(1110β)n.
109β is approximately equal to 1110β and the ranges that the answer choices give us are generous, so we should use either 109β or 1110β to find a rough estimate for m.
Since 21β=0.5, that means 2β1β=2β21ββ0.7. Additionally, (109β)3=0.729
Therefore, we can estimate that 2β21β<y3β.
Raising both sides to the 40th power, we get 2^{-20}<\left(y_{3}\right)^
But y3β=(y0β)3, so 2β20<(y0β)120 and therefore, 2β20<y120β.
This tells us that m is somewhere around 120, so our answer is (C)[81,242]β.